The main force of Brent crude oil futures rose 2.00% in the day to 72.45 US dollars/barrel.After Trump called for an immediate ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine and held talks, Kegong: So far, he has not contacted Trump or his team. According to Reuters, after US President-elect Trump called for an immediate ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine and held talks to end the "madness" of the war, Russian Presidential Press Secretary and Kremlin spokesman peskov said on the 9th local time that Kegong has not contacted Trump or his team so far. (World Wide Web)Silver rose sharply, rising 4% in the day, and spot silver rose 4.00% in the day, and is now reported at $32.20 per ounce. COMEX silver rose 4.00% in the day and is now quoted at $32.85 per ounce.
The word "moderate easing" releases the economic signal next year. On December 9, an important meeting was held. The meeting analyzed and studied the economic work in 2025, and mentioned that a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented next year. Since 2011, China has maintained a sound monetary policy tone for a long time. This time, the prefix of monetary policy has changed to "moderately loose", which means that economic policy will provide more liquidity next year. (Yuyuan Tan Tian)Spot gold rose by 1.5% in the day to $2,672.85 per ounce.Valin Steel: The subsidiary plans to invest 2.499 billion yuan to build the technology development and industrial application project of extra-large diameter seamless steel pipe continuous rolling. Valin Steel announced that the subsidiary Valin Henggang plans to invest 2.499 billion yuan to build the technology development and industrial application project of extra-large diameter seamless steel pipe continuous rolling, and build the first advanced continuous rolling pipe production line with the largest diameter in the world. The construction period of the project is 18 months. After completion, Valin Henggang can realize the continuous rolling production of extra-large diameter seamless steel pipes with an outer diameter of φ 323 mm ~ 610 mm and a wall thickness of 7.3 mm ~ 60 mm. The project is funded by bank loans of 1-1.5 billion yuan, shareholders' capital increase of 1 billion yuan and their own funds.
Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.A slum in Haiti was attacked by gangs, killing 184 people. On December 9, local time, the United Nations Human Rights Committee said that Haitian gangs attacked the Sun City community on the outskirts of Port-au-Prince from July 7 to 8, local time, killing 184 people. It is said that in this year's gang armed attacks, the death toll in Haiti was as high as 5,000. (CCTV News)Liu Jianchao met with Shi Resta, First Vice Chairman of CPN (Maoist Center). On December 9, Liu Jianchao, Minister of International Liaison Department of CPC Central Committee, met with Shi Resta, First Vice Chairman of Nepal communist party (Maoist Center). The two sides exchanged views on implementing the important consensus of the leaders of the two countries, strengthening inter-party exchanges, deepening cooperation in building the "Belt and Road" and promoting the development of relations between the two parties and the two countries. (Xinhua News Agency)
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13